Showing posts with label The lovely U.S. job market. Show all posts
Showing posts with label The lovely U.S. job market. Show all posts

Wednesday, May 1, 2019

New Hope for the Nations: John Maynard Keynes


Anyone who believes that exponential growth can go on forever in a finite world is either a madman or an economist......Kenneth E. Boulding

As I come to the end of Dave Breese's book, Seven Men Who Rule The World From The Grave, the last man to rule the world from the grave is John Maynard Keynes. As mentioned in my previous post on Karl Marx and Marxist theory, no two men did more to destroy the original intent of the founding fathers than did Karl Marx and John Maynard Keynes. Both set the groundwork for cultural Marxism and corporate fascism that was later to flourish as competing for totalitarianism ideologies hell-bent on destroying a self-governing Republic that sought to practice free-market Capitalism. Because of Keynes, we as a nation are now addicted to the artificial money supply. His socialist economic theories laid out the philosophical rationale for endless government borrowing and government spending of fiat money.


              John Maynard Keynes is the father of macro and micro-economics. His philosophy is behind all courses taught in college on economics and his theories are the foundation and structure of, not only socialist Europe, but the United States as well. As a result, America's economy or gross domestic product barely grows and if it does, it the result of stimulus and/or expanding the money supply, a.k.a., quantitative easing. Since the inception of the Federal Reserve, the Central Bank, the International Monetary Fund (IMF), and the Bank of International Settlements (BIS), countries all around the world are in debt to a shadowy organization (small contingent of private investment banks with no oversight or jurisdiction) that charges ungodly usury, saddles the people with austerity, and controls the populace, all the while getting fabulous wealthy from printing money out of thin air.


        Before we go into Keynesian economic theory, we must first understand how America's economy was "rescued" by John Maynard Keynes and how we have amassed a $20 Trillion debt and counting.


        Around the turn of the 20th century, the industrial revolution was coming on strong and optimism was abounding and since America had so progressed since the civil war, we had only forward to go. Darwin's theory promised utopia, as did Marxist theory and Freudian theory as well. Religious Liberalism was taking hold and so nothing was to be denied. Prosperity, expansion, and the promise of wider industrialization led many to believe that only a bright future was in store; men had only an upward evolution, he could not go backward. Under the leadership of John Dewey, the American educational system was brimming with new ideas and concepts such as instrumentalism and radical empiricism. A sunny outlook prevailed and even Time-Life books made note of it calling it, The Fabulous Century, giving it the title, The Cocksure Era,
"The mood was set for the first decade of the new century and won for the period several titles- The Age of Optimism, the Age of Confidence, the Age of Innocence. But another tag might have seemed appropriate to an objective visitor from abroad: the Cocksure Era. For this was a time when Americans were optimistic and self-confident to an extreme; they did not merely hope for the best, they fully expected it...…..Most people automatically assumed that all problems would be solved in the normal course of events; meanwhile, the important thing was for a man to get ahead, to earn maximum returns from bountiful opportunities" (This Fabulous Century: 1900-1910, p. 29). And Americans had every reason to be optimistic: the housewife could buy a dozen eggs for 12 cents; she could get sirloin steak for 24 cents a pound; a turkey dinner only costs 20 cents. The businessman had it good as well: taxes were little and trade was moving along swiftly. New devices were appearing such as the typewriter, self-binding harvester, the sewing machine, and the automobile was advancing (Breese 182). Politicians had their heyday for sure bringing with them promises for a bright future filled with nothing but optimism. "We are trustees of the world's progress, guardians of its righteous peace" (Albert J. Beveridge of Indiana, p. 183).


          Moving into the 2nd decade of the 20th century, despite the affluent times, some were having doubts though and questions were beginning to arise. Consider once again what the Time-Life books say,
"These affluent times were roiled by increasing ferment and discontent. Labor unrest, rising little noticed in the previous decade, could no longer be ignored; in the first six months of 1916, the country was beset by no fewer than 2,093 strikes and lock-outs. Added to the demands of militant labor were strident voices campaigning for other causes that seemed even more radical than the six-day workweek: women suffrage, birth control, advancement for colored people, progressive education, prohibition. Most alarming of all, a million socialists were demanding the overthrow of capitalism, which-they asserted-proved rotten to the core" (This Fabulous Century, p. 31). Then a shot fired in 1914-the assassination of Archduke Francis Ferdinand of Austria, Hungary at the hands of a Serbian nationalist. The first World War left "carnage more frightful than the world had thought possible" (Breese 184). The war was beginning to change national attitudes and the thought processes for the future, "for the Marxist, the war was a godsend. The socialist forces in the West used it to prove that the capitalist societies were indeed breaking down. Long had they preached that capitalism bears within itself the seeds of its own destruction. Now they could prove it" (184). So, Socialist parties began to grow all over Europe and the United States with the slogan, the inevitable socialist world revolution. The war was advantageous to the Marxist for another reason: the fall of Russia to the Communists and the establishment of the first Communist dictatorship under Lenin. With a disillusioned people under the czar, they were more than willing to follow any leader who promised them great change for the future and they simply could not resist a man with a plan. And so, the Communist party took hold and "150 million people slipped into the Communist dark age, most of them never to be heard from again" and "the fiery, revolutionary Lenin sensed the opportunity for Communism to move from mere ideology to control of the levers of power" (184). Just as the Communists were gaining ground, so too were the religious liberals that were set on controlling the religious establishment in America and Europe, "the liberal views of Wellhausen, with their doctrine of evolution in religion, were pressed more strongly than ever" (184). As Marxism and Darwinism were spreading their tentacles far and wide like a dark pestilence, another promise of utopia was gaining ground: the promise of economic prosperity for all. And so, economics became the issue.


            After the war, there was a depression out of which came "an expansion in the economy that approached the spectacular" (Breese 185). Everyone wanted the new products that were arriving on the market and this led to a never-ending upward cycle. This aggregate demand fueled new employment, which in turn produced the money to buy all these new products and then some, which then produced the capital (profit) to invest more, "mass production began to turn out radios, electric refrigerators, modern automobiles, shinier bathroom fixtures, and a thousand other things that could hardly be made fast enough to satisfy the appetite of a voracious populace" (185). Time-Life books report,
"Corporate profits were up. Thanks to new techniques of mass production, many manufacturers netted huge sums that they liberally plowed back into plant expansion. In 1923, U.S. Steel was operating so efficiently that it was able to reduce its work-day from twelve to eight hours, to employ seventeen thousand additional workers, to raise wages, and yet, amazingly, to show an increase in profits. Income was up in most lines of endeavor. Even the industrial workers, whose strikes for higher pay had availed them little in the previous decade, benefitted from company largesse and enjoyed a higher standard of living. To round out the happy picture, prices were stable, savings and life insurance doubled; and business was given an added impetus by the growth of chain stores and installment buying. With all these factors reinforcing the upward spiral, prosperity seemed to have no ceiling" (This Fabulous Century, p. 96). This upward, never-ending cycle of prosperity created profits so large that people started paying attention to the rising values in the stock market. By 1928, the prices of stocks soared to exponential levels. Everyone dreamed of striking it rich. One and a half million Americans brought all their hopes, fueled by emotional euphoria, with them (similar to the subprime bubble in 2006 in which Alan Greenspan coined the phrase "irrational exuberance"). They were "confident that the amazing rise of stock prices would be the escalator that would take them to a level of possessions beyond their wildest dreams" (186). Anyone who dared to lift a word of warning was thought to be "positively unpatriotic" or a Cassandra. And no one wanted to listen to any warnings because they were filling their lives with the latest product even though they did not have the money to buy it. So, they bought the products with credit instead.


           Installment buying or buying with credit seemed like a "miracle." How easy it was to get anything in an instant and pay for it later-ignoring the fact that installment buying "added between 10 and 40 percent to the cost of an article" (186). Warnings sounded by an unpatriotic banker that people were mortgaging their futures for instant gratification and present-day pleasures (187). And like most warnings, the banker's voice was ignored and so the upward elevator kept on rising. Such is the case with most bubbles in which warnings go unheeded and history is littered with them. Time-Life Books reported this time as "credit buying a healthy handmaiden of prosperity" (This Fabulous Century 96). Breese points out the optimist with succinctly quoting writing in Collier's Weekly from Time-Life Books, 'Smith has large debts,' was not really damning, but complementary, for it meant that 'Smith has a fine line of credit' (187). And so the masses continued to buy up the products and the products couldn't be made fast enough. This "miracle" of credit allowed everyone to have the latest products, even those who clearly couldn't afford them. Much of this was achieved by companies due largely in part to advertising.


           Around this time was the advent of the radio or electronic media. It was all the hype. As radio grew from its beginning in Pittsburgh, station KDKA, it's sales rose from 2 million in 1920 to 600 million in 1929. As with true Americanism, advertising came with broadcasting and so ad promos saw large expansions; the lure was effectively enticing-people bought up the products advertised with their heart content. This time was described as "the golden dawn of advertising" (187). And so, the upward spiral indeed saw no ceiling. Prosperity was expected for every person, the businessman and his wife!

But then IT happened!

The Great Depression.

            The crash of 1929-Black Tuesday, October 29th left stock prices plummeting and losing 40% their value or $30 million. According to the CPI (which is not accurate at all), adjusted for inflation $30 million is equal to $441 Billion in today's dollars. The one reason for the collapse was because stocks were priced exceedingly above their real value (you think!). There simply was no economic justification for their extortionist prices. But not only that, stocks could be bought for as little as a 10% margin, with the balance financed and paid off by loans from stockbrokers. This was eerily similar to the recent economic collapse of 2008 in which subprime loans were marketed with the illusion that anyone could own a home, even those who made $8 an hour! As these subprime loans were bundled together and sold as mortgage-backed securities to investors all around the world, they were given AAA ratings from Moody's and Finch and those day traders made off with billions, all the while selling fraudulent securities to an unsuspecting, gullible people. Even governments bought up these securities like candy! When the market collapsed, the consequence was like a tsunami of overextended investors who simply did not have the money to pay the additional margin. Our current derivatives market now issues credit default swaps which results in an even larger tsunami of losses. A credit default swap is basically insurance against a risk gone bad, so it essentially takes away the integrity of investing. All of these bad investments drove the market deeper into descent with "brokers themselves being carried away by the cataract of financial ruin rolling upon America and the world" (188). The same scenario was repeated in 2008 and the market still didn't learn.

          The crash of 1929 of the American stock market is still considered the most memorable day in the economic history of civilization. From there on out, new questions arose such as, how did we get here? How should we restructure all of it? Do economics and politics tie together? How do we understand our relationship with money? How do we get back onto the road to recovery? Black Tuesday stimulated the "study of that nearly occultic science called economics" (188). And everyone from the academicians to the shoe shiners asked those questions. From there on out, everything was watched more carefully. Never again (really?) was anything that had to deal with economics considered automatic, ever-growing, and never failing (188). Despite the pursuit of questions that became the full-time occupation of the more pensive people, America slipped into the gloomy, despondent decade of the Great Depression, "life was over; the bright dream of the 1920s had turned into a cruel farce" (189). The thoughtful person considered at that time that a politician promising hope and prosperity seemed like the words of a charlatan! Consider these concise words that Breese articulates with lucidity, "As the nation moved through the Great Depression, it thought deeply about what had happened. Only then did it take the time to remember that the previous message of unlimited prosperity was really a charade. Banks were actually failing before the crash at a rate of two per day. The nation angrily remembered that it was constantly the object of reassuring speeches by politicians, businessmen, economists, and other academicians, who claimed the nation was marching along a permanently high plateau with nothing to worry about. Never again was the world quite as confident in the promises of people who were supposed to know what they were talking about. One of the worst aspects of the Great Depression was that answers were not forthcoming, and it appeared that there would never be relief form the hopelessness the nation faced. The nation sang "Happy Day Are Here Again" but in 1930 the national income fell from $87 billion to $42 billion in 1932" (189). As a nation, the American people grew weary of empty promises and no change in their circumstances. So, they took their vengeance out on the political party in power at that time. As a result, Hoover, the Republican incumbent was axed out and Roosevelt won by a landslide with his promise of a "new deal."


    But problems still persisted into 1933. Unemployment especially dispirited the people and continued to spread hopelessness. Breese quotes Robert Heilbroner, "It was the unemployment that was hardest to bear. The jobless millions were like an embolism in the nation's vital circulation; and while their indisputable existence argued more forcibly than any text that something was wrong with the system, the economists wrung their hands and racked their brains and called upon the spirit of Adam Smith, but could offer neither diagnosis nor remedy. Unemployment-this kind of unemployment-was simply not listed among the possible ills of the system: it was absurd, impossible, unreasonable, and paradoxical. But it was there" (The Worldly Philosophers p. 253). And there was a paradox indeed with unemployment. The great need for further production while at the same time millions seeking employment in vain. No one seemed to have a solution or a formula for solving the problems.

       Then came a man with a solution. A man with a formula. The man, John Maynard Keynes, proposed a solution that we now call Keynesian Economics and his theories "changed the face of the world and affects every living person" (190). John Maynard Keynes still rules from the grave!

   Keynes was born in 1883, the year of Karl Marx's death. He was a well-bred Englishman (pedigree). In his early years, Keynes showed himself to be intellectually brilliant by effectively and convincingly communicating his ideas to his classmates. By only 14, he won a scholarship to Eton, an upscale, sophisticated boys' school in Britain. After that, he attended King's College at Cambridge with much success showing himself to be an excellent debater and thoroughly capable of interacting with his professors and his peers. In fact, his professors were so impressed that they asked him to consider being a full-time economist. Even though a door opened for him to pursue an academic career, he needed to make money and instead wanted to manage a railway or organize a trust (191). In the interim, he worked for the British government, passing his tests with high scores, although scoring the lowest in the economics part. By 1907, Keynes was sent by the British government to work in the India Office for the treasury. Since he found the work boring and tedious, he spent his time doing economic research and in 1913, he wrote a mathematical treatise titled, Indian Currency and Finance. He later resigned from that position and returned to England but since his treatise was considered nothing short of a masterpiece, at only 29, he was invited to join the newly formed Royal Commission on the problems of currency in India. He also became Editor of the Economic Journal (Britain's most influential economic publication at that time-similar to today's The Economist) for the next 33 years. 

      As WW I came to a close, Keynes was called by his government to the Treasury. It was this position that enabled him to get a firm grasp on overseas finances and even develop "theories as to what might be done with those unstable things called national currencies" (191). Soon enough, he became a very influential figure in the Treasury and "gained the reputation of being an important person in the field of economics, especially economics as it relates to government" (192). Following the war, he went to Paris as Deputy for the Chancellor of the Exchequer on the Supreme Economic Council as a representative for the Treasury at the Peace Conference. As he observed and strongly opposed the decisions made in the reparations that Germany was required to pay in the Carthaginian peace, he discerned that it was way beyond Germany's ability to repay. This eventually led to the beginning of the Bank of International Settlements in Basel, Switzerland [more on that down below]. As Keynes believed nothing good could come from the decisions made at the peace conference, he resigned and set to writing his repudiation of the peace conference in The Economic Consequences of the Peace. This polemic, written in heated passion, established him as a formidable economic mind and it served as a warning to the world of the tragic consequences sure to come from the Treaty of Versailles (192).


       By 1924, The nations initiated the promises of undoing the decisions of 1919 and out of this, Keynes became famous. He also became independently wealthy in his own ability, a rare credential for an economist, by speculating in International currency markets on Wall Street. He became a multi-millionaire. It was at this point that he really had a reputation, not only in socialist Europe but now in America and his influence was instrumental during the Roosevelt administration and his "New Deal," and by rescuing the American economy from the Great Depression.

     "An understanding of economic theory Keynes developed will give us a clue to Keynes's pervasive influence to this day" (Breese 193). So what is Keynesian economics? Well first, it is important to note that before Keynes impacted fiscal policy in America, the basic concept or understanding by most Americans, economists, politicians, etc., was that cyclical markets had wide variations. In other words, the business cycle would fluctuate between inflation and depression and this was inevitable, but it was believed that automatic safety switches were built in that could pull the economy up from depression and ease it down-ward from an inflationary peak, "the major argument was that during periods of depression, savings would rise and therefore interest rates would fall, making money available for industrial expansion. Industry would then expand, increasing employment and causing the economy to rise, thereby producing more investment. Interest rates would then rise, reducing savings and causing a downtown in the economy. So the cycle would continue with dependable safety switches built-in at the top and bottom of the business cycle" (Breese 193-194). So, to reiterate, concerning the economic cycle, standard variations were always the conventional belief or conviction at that time (early, 1900s).

             Keynes believed however that this view was flawed. He stated that the conventional belief didn't get us out of the Great Depression and in no way was a guarantee (well, duh! Is anything guaranteed today except death and taxes?). According to Keynes, just because the businessman had good intentions for production and plant building using low-interest rates, didn't mean the economy would suddenly awaken from the dead. Keynes also asserted that the missing piece of the "old" theory was that there would be insufficient money in savings at the bottom of the business cycle to reduce interest rates that stimulate the economy again and cause the cycle to move upward. So, for Keynes the stimulate necessary to cause the economy to move upward towards prosperity from a depression "did not lie in static values of savings and investment.....[but] rather, that it was enter-prise that caused an upward economic movement" (194). Keynes also argued that enterprise and business investment were not always a constant, dependable thing because if a business overextended their product it would produce a supply beyond the demand and in would prove quite costly reducing profits for the business. The simple law of supply and demand is applied. So again, the businessman could not be expected to invest constantly.

            Keynes articulated the general tenets of his economic theories in his book The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money. Breese states that the treatise is complicated and makes for demanding reading so he quotes Robert Heilbroner's uncomplicated view,
First, an economy in depression could stay there. There was nothing inherent in the economic mechanism situation to pull it out. One could have "equilibrium" with unemployment, even massive unemployment. Second, prosperity depended on investment. If business spending for capital equipment fell, a spiral of contraction would begin. Only if business investment rose would a spiral of expansion follow. And third, investment was an undependable drive wheel for the economy. Uncertainty, not assurance, lay at the very core of capitalism. Through no fault of the businessman, it was constantly threatened with satiety, satiety spelled economic shrinkage" (The Worldly Philosophers, 253). Since Keynes believed that the economy "lived in the shadow of collapse" (Breese 195), there had to be a tonic or catalyst to jump-start things, similar to enzymes for cells. Roosevelt's "New Deal" was just the catalyst or tonic needed. In order to boost the morale of the people, government investment was necessary. The specific, planned, and coordinated effort (the "golden panacea") of the government would produce employment even if the government assumed mounting debt to do so. And the employment it would produce would be low-paying service jobs with no benefits leaving wages stagnant because of inflation (hidden-tax) due to printing money like it is toilet paper. If there was any lack of investment from business, according to Keynes, the government must pick up the slack and invest in the economy.

               Keynes recommended these theories in his book, not only for the United States but many other nations as well. Breese mentions that it is probable that Keynes was not arguing for a permanent solution but rather a temporary solution to sluggish growth, high unemployment, and general recession signs. I, however, do not agree with this sentiment (the very rare time I have disagreed with Breese). I don't agree because when he was asked, "yes, this appears to work in the short term, but what about the long-term consequences?" Keynes's reply was "in the long term, we are all dead." So obviously, Keynes didn't care much about the children of his day and their future. Clearly, he did not have a fiduciary mindset. But not only that, what about the business community? They seem to have a general mistrust in the government and its role through stifling regulation. There is more bureaucratic red tap through smothering bureaucrats and although government entities, such as the SEC or Securities Exchange Commission, are supposed to enforce ethics on Wall Street, most know they are useless. Instead, there are government guarantees of financial institutions like the banks through tax-payer money. Also, how was this philosophy related to the labor unions that kept wages viable? The result of all this has been the ruin of free-market capitalism.

                Keynes's economic theory can be summed up in one sentence: Government is God. This is why we have seen this nation go from free-market Capitalism to Socialism and in Socialism, Government is God! Government is the final resource, it has the solution for every problem, and it can create something out of nothing (which obviously is not true because that violates the law of cause and effect). Keynesian economics has a people addicted to the artificial money supply and explains why we have a national debt climbing to $21 trillion and there seems to be no ceiling. As Breese lucidly points out, "from what source can we continue to borrow ad infinitum the money that is needed in larger and larger amounts for the government to be the nurturer and manager of everything?" (197). Because of this, the government started issuing bonds during WW II to help finance the elevator of deficit spending and has even resorted to buying those very bonds with more money printed out of thin air. This happened during the economic crisis of 2008 when the government instituted a massive bond-buying program to help finance the debt because there were not enough people willing to buy the bonds. They simply did not want to invest in the debt.

                 As money has continued to be printed backed by nothing, no gold or silver, the integrity of the whole system has declined significantly and frankly, is in quick descent. Once upon a time, large government deficits were an embarrassment to the politicians but not so today. Since Nixon made a surprising public confession, "I am a Keynesian," no one has cared much about balancing the budget, reducing the national debt, and reducing expenditures. Even though Congress passed the Gramm-Rudman Act in 1985, which required the deficit to be reduced each year until expenditures matched government income so government obligation would go down, it turned out to be "chimerical promise" (Breese 198). So how long can the government continue with its obligations? There is no safety factor built into Keynesian economic theory. The claim from some economists has been that the obligations will be met with the twin programs of rising population and controlled inflation. But will we have a rise in population when there are more abortions that kill the babies that will eventually become the adults who will work to pay the taxes for those social programs that the government promises to elderly people? And considering too, that fewer and fewer young adults are not getting married and not having children because the family unit has been ripped apart. Concerning inflation, well, that's a tricky business. Indeed, by its very nature, it stubbornly refuses to be controlled as it is affected by productivity, interest rates, careful management, lack of greed, competence, and so many other variables. Very few political systems have ever been able to control inflation, including dictatorships (199). But these obligations are only the tip of the iceberg when considering how global everything is today.

            In the old days of isolationism, nations could argue that they were masters of their own destiny. Not so today. What happens in Asia, impacts the world, and what happens on Wall Street, impacts the global-finance markets. Everything is interconnected, "the days of stable economies in Western nations were the days in which the government served as an umpire, not as a member, of one or another of the teams. The government called the balls and strikes, but competent entrepreneurs and capable workers produced the results. Now, under its mandate to be god, the government tilts the playing field, juggles the score, and fixes the game before the last batter has appeared. By doing so, it produces a game that cannot be fairly won even by the most worthy" (Breese 200). So, as the expression goes, it is rigged before you even get started!

              One could argue that government should do this, but this could be counter-argued with the fact that no one can prove that those controlling the government are the most moral, the most competent, and the most brilliant. In fact, it's the opposite! Once again, I will quote Breese, [men in government] "escalated to positions of underserved power, to positions above the level of their competence.........how else can we explain staggering debt, huge deficits, lost wars, and costly scandals? Any government that expands its control, while at the same time reducing its competence to exercise that control, will soon begin to sense the hitherto solid ground quivering beneath its feet" (200). Clearly, without a moral, ethical element woven into political and economic policy, the system will fall and collapse like a building set to dynamite.

             And so for now, they (the International Banking Cartel) will continue to raise the debt ceiling by printing more and more money out of thin air. And this is being done in the aggregate.....ubiquitous sovereign debt. The Federal Reserve, the Central Bank, the IMF, and the Bank for International Settlements have all but indebted the nations of the world. This construct of a banking cartel, this paradigm, is necessary in order to facilitate the endless borrowing to the nations of the world, "in order to make this borrowing possible it has become imperative for the industrial nations of the world to set up an international economic construct" (201). The world bank, multinational commissions, and financial cartels are now necessary for international finance. Consider this quote from Carroll Quigley, a former professor from Georgetown University and author of Tragedy and Hope, "The power of financial capitalism had another far-reaching plan, nothing less than to create a world system of financial control in private hands able to dominate the political system of each country and the economy of the world as a whole. This system was to be controlled in a feudalistic fashion by the central banks of the world acting in concert, by secret agreements arrived at in frequent meetings and conferences. The Apex of the system was to be the Bank for International Settlements in Basel, Switzerland, a private bank owned and controlled by the world's central banks, which were themselves private corporations. Each central bank, in the hands of men like Montagu Norman the Bank of England, Benjamin Strong of the New York Federal Reserve Bank, Charles Rist of the Bank of France, and Hjalmar Schacht [who worked with Hitler] of the Reichsbank, sought to dominate its government by its ability to control treasury loans, to manipulate foreign exchanges, to influence the level of economic activity in the country, and to influence co-operative politicians by subsequent rewards in the business world." And private corporations they are. Many people have been deceived into believing that the Federal Reserve and these other central banks, world banks, etc., are owned by governments. And this myth has been perpetuated all over. But if they were, why do these banks have stockholders? Why do they pay their own postage like corporations do? And why aren't their employees in the civil service? And why are their physical properties held in private deeds that are subject to taxation which government property is not? Because they are "an engine that has created private wealth that is unimaginable, even to the most financially sophisticated. It has enabled an imperial elite to manipulate our economy for its own agenda and has enlisted the government itself as its enforcer. It controls the times, it dictates business, and it affects our homes and practically everything in which you and I are interested" (Missler. Exposing the Federal Reserve, 205). This rapaciousness has no end, and their desire for power to control and dominate has no end.


         The Bank for International Settlements was formed in 1930 with the funding by the Central Banks of six nations: Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, and the United Kingdom. In addition, three private international banks from the United States also assisted in financing the establishment of the BIS. It is the Central Bank of Central Bankers, head-quartered for all the Industrialized nations of the world. The difference between the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) is that the IMF loans money directly to nations whereas the BIS loans money directly to Central Banks. Nations pay a quota to the IMF with tax-payer money. And those of us who are not fools, know that the International Banking Cartel encourages debt so they can collect more interest paid by more taxes on us, the "useless eaters." Consider this quote from Jean Claude Trichet, President of the European Central Bank on April 26, 2010, "More generally, the crisis has weakened the arguments of those who think that deregulation is always conducive to better functioning markets. We have learned once again that markets cannot function properly without an effective regulatory and supervisory infrastructure. Governments, central banks, international institutions, and globally agreed prudential standards and codes are the means why which we collectively speak to avail ourselves of this global public good of global economic stability." Only the useful idiots that Lenin spoke of would agree with this! Yes, some regulation is necessary considering man has an inherent proclivity towards self. I'm certainly not against monitoring financial markets. Isn't that what the SEC is supposed to do? Perhaps, if they did their job, the economic crisis of 2008 never would have happened. But more than anything, and more than likely this was a crisis that was engineered so the powers that be could get more power as President Obama said in one of his press conferences (during the economic crisis) that the Federal Reserve needs more power. This had already been achieved in 1980 when the Monetary Control Act was passed that "expanded the power and reach of the Federal Reserve system by giving them control over all depository institutions, whether or not the banks are members of the so-called Federal Reserve system. This act, among other things, gave the Federal Reserve the power to use the debt of foreign nations as collateral for the printing of Federal Reserve notes" (Missler 210). The Federal Reserve simply has no collateral left to print endlessly because they are writing checks against the illusion of compound interest (another tenet of Keynesian theory, fractional reserve banking). They are essentially writing bad checks! How is this legal? If the average Joe printing money because he was having liquidity issues, he would be arrested and charged with a felony. So, when you consider that man generally is hard of hearing, financial collapses will continue to repeat themselves over and over and history will not serve as a lesson to learn from.

          So how long will this stream of money continue to flow? And when will they decide to set up a new financial and political structure? Keynes succeeded in positioning the nations of the world in such a way that they must come together under a new form of international control. The reality is that now, the world is headed toward an international management committee or a world government. The game of chess ends in checkmate and that checkmate will be America. Because America is the net debtor nation of the world when the time bomb explodes, will Keynes be here with a new theory to rescue us? And yet, the Keynesian economic theory is peddled in colleges and financial institutions everywhere. Keynes has far too many avid followers because his economic theory appeases the minds of those that want quick solutions to complicated problems and who use it as an excuse to live a life of economic dissipation.  





Citations:
Quotes and paraphrases from:
Dave Breese. Seven Men Who Rule The World From The Grave. Moody's Publishers. Chicago, Ill. 1990.

Various Arthurs. Steeling The Mind Of America. Vol. II. New Leaf Press. Green Forest, AR. 1996. Excerpts from "Exposing the Federal Reserve" by Chuck Missler.

This Fabulous Century: 1900-1910. Time-Life Books. New York, NY. 1969.

Robert Heilbroner. The Worldly Philosophers. Simon & Schuster. New York, NY. 1986.











Thursday, September 8, 2016

How would you describe this picture?



In one hundred words, write with creative expression what you think is happening here. Use descriptive words. Show, don't tell what happening. Are those spit projectiles? Are her eyes glaring with the intent of death? Are her fists tightened with the strength of steel? Is she ready to pounce on her subject of disdain? Is the pitch and volume of her voice high with excessive decibels? Does it reverberate and echo throughout the entire building that everyone else can hear it? What words and sentences is she speaking? Are they curse words? Insulting words? Hateful? Threatening words? How do you think the recipient of this bully is feeling and thinking? Describe the tension in the scene.

Thursday, July 5, 2012

How Interest Rates effect you.

From the Economic Collapse Blog by Michael Synder
www.theeconomiccollapseblog.com

The Biggest Financial Scandal.......

We always knew that the financial markets were rigged, but this is ridiculous. It is now being alleged that 20 major banks have been systematically fixing interest rates for years. Barclays has already been fined hundreds of millions of dollars for manipulating Libor  (the London Inter Bank Offered Rate). But Barclay says that a whole bunch of other banks were doing this too. This is shaping up to be the biggest financial scandal in history, and criminal investigations have been launched on both sides of the Atlantic. What those investigations are likely to uncover could shake the financial markets to their very core. In the end, this scandal could absolutely devastate confidence in the global financial system and it could potentially bring down a number of major global banks. We have never seen anything like this before.

What is Libor? You can read all about it here.



Thursday, June 14, 2012

Back to Business.

Americans saw wealth plummet 40% from 2007 to 2010.


From the washingtonpost.com. You can read all about it here.

Saturday, May 26, 2012

Bailout bill for Spanish lender Bankia continues to soar; Spain's fourth largest bank may need a cash injection of 15 billion euros after suffering losses in 2008 property crash.



From the Guardian. Another bailout? When is it going to stop?
The costs are rising to bailout the 4th largest bank in Spain, Bankia. You can read all about it here.

Saturday, May 19, 2012

If the Greece model (of bailouts and austerity) did not work, what makes anyone think it will work here or anywhere else?



Greece is in serious trouble and so are many other countries in the Eurozone. With Greece exiting the Euro we know there will be a run on the banks (rightly so) and with that a rippling effect of other EU countries defaulting as well. We all know that Spain, Portugal, Italy, and France are already drowning in debt and bailout after bailout will not improve the economy nor stimulate economic growth. Severe austerity only worsens the problem by strangling any chance of growth in GDP. Imposing austerity on its citizens with an unemployment rate already dangerously high is tantamount to beating a dead horse and demanding it get up and work for you. The rich investors who loan money to bailout these countries will demand more and more austerity (which frankly doesn't make any sense.....other than the fact that the borrower is slave to the lender), along with higher and higher interest rates because of fears that they will never get their money back; and those fears are real with an even higher probability they will not get their money back.

We all know this will in turn effect the United States and our already anemic growth. Signs of recovery are far and few even though the media tells us otherwise.......they do not want to cause a panic or a run on the banks. But I can assure you the only reason why the stock market is inching up is because folks are desperate to make money especially after severe inflation (or hidden tax) relative to stagnant wages. With the Fed keeping interest rates at historic low levels, no one can make any return on a safe investment such as CD's, mutual funds or T-bills. So everyone is pouring their bucks in the RISKY stock market in a desperate attempt to fund their pensions, 401(k)s, and retirements. This will only prove to be futile. Quantitative easing by the Fed clearly indicates a desperate move to finance our debt because investors are really getting nervous about our ability to repay the loans, thereby refusing to loan. And keeping interest rates extremely low only fuels the fire of predatory lending and fancy derivatives that led to the crisis to begin with.

The interest on our debt continues to soar to record amounts, even though the interest rate may be quite low. We collect trillions in taxes, yet a large chunk of those taxes fund only the interest, not the principal, on our national debt. This is one big reason the Fed is keeping interest rates near zero so the amount of interest we pay to our creditors will be "more" manageable.......but they can't keep it near zero forever. Instead of addressing the endless wars, billions of tax payer dollars given to the banks, corporate welfare, and fiat money from the Fed, they will try to impose austerity on those with the least amount of power. In other words, they will blame our entitlement programs as the cause of our national debt.

In lieu of the recent JP Morgan 5 billion dollar loss (which must be noted that they are the originator of the infamous "credit default swap"), and clear evidence that these so-called too big to fail banks are even larger than before, thanks to the nearly 16 Trillion dollars that was printed globally to bail out all the banks, and the fact that they are all still trading those "fancy" derivatives and/or credit default swaps, we are given a "pretty" lucid picture of a fiscal tsunami when these countries begin to default. It is profoundly similar to the Indian Ocean tsunami that hit the coasts while many unsuspecting and unassuming people enjoyed their elaborate vacations........over one quarter of a million people were wiped off the earth. These banks never should have been bailed out and because they were, they have been given more incentive to take even bigger risks with other people's money, even though they are supposed to be mitigating and managing that risk as a responsible, reputable bank with about 2 Trillion in assets. The banks' CEO, Jamie Dimon, walked away with 35 million in bonus (from a board of directors probably related to him) even after this loss of 5 billion of investors money.

All of these so-called solutions have simply kicked the can down the road. And if these bailouts have not worked thus far, why would they think more stimulus and more bailouts will work now. Yes, many economists always like to mention cyclical markets and that we are just in a downturn but you do not have to be a rocket scientist to understand basis economic facts..........you cannot sustain an economy on fractional reserve banking because you have nothing to back it up, but an illusion of compound interest. It may work for the rich, the top 1% who we know keep getting richer, but for the rest of the global population it is extremely sad and disproportionate. I should mention that these banks help finance nuclear weapons or just about any weapon of war to evil dictators for their only goal is to make money. To not understand that would be naive.

The economic crisis of 2008 is being compared to the Great Depression of the 1930's (probably worse) and we know that that Great Depression lastly nearly 10 years. The ONLY event that took the United States out of the Great Depression was the advent of World War II and our enormous production of military goods that had a immediate stimulus on our economy. Those without work were suddenly put to work. As horrible as that seems, it was a world war that saved our economy! But understand too that even though many are saying we got out of the great depression so we will get out of this slump, the looming problem that makes this crisis far more severe than the 1930's Great Depression is that we did NOT have a 16 Trillion dollar debt like we do today! Now you tell me.......how is that for progress?

Many folks did not think the gigantic, magnificent Titanic would sink. But it did! And it seemed only the rich survived much like the big banks with trillions of dollars in assets. We may have seen a recovery in the banks (1st class) but much like the rest of us (2nd and 3rd class), we are still drowning. In the end, bailing out country after country with printed fiat money is like trying to redecorate the parlor in the Titanic. One day "mushrooms" will be sprouting all over and those greedy 1% who have amassed for themselves untold riches will lose it all anyway, including their souls because they will have met their eternal destiny in Hell.




Please watch this movie by clicking on the link:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yOjq1oww3FA&feature=relmfu


Also for updated inflation news visit trendsresearch.com and inflation.us

Thursday, February 16, 2012

Aggregate Wealth and Power and the Arrogance of the Greedy Elite



If you have ever seen the movie "Titanic" by James Cameron (and who hasn't), there is a scene in which I vividly recall that clearly illustrates the point of this post. Before this particular scene and throughout the movie we discover quickly that Rose is trapped into a marriage by her mother that she does not desire. Her mother insists she marry this rich sleezy tycoon, who cares little for anyone but himself, to preserve their "good name". Yet Rose is disgusted with the stiffness and conceit of the rich. When she meets Jack who is relegated to 3rd class because he is poor, her spirit begins to soar. She finally feels alive and happy even though Jack has no money! It is Jack who gives her the courage to walk away, even if she has to go down to her death in the frigid waters that fateful early morning on April the 15th, 1912. In lieu of this 100th anniversary, I think this post is apropos.

The scene in which I vividly recall is when Rose and her finance are talking about the lifeboats. She says to the rich tycoon, "don't you realize that half the people on this boat are going to die?" and he says arrogantly and coldly, "not the better half". When she decides right then and there that she is going to go with Jack even though she may die, he says to her, "you're going back with him you whore" and she says quite confidently, "I'd rather be his whore than your wife!" and proceeds to spit in his face.

Although this is just a Hollywood movie, reality is quite the same in many cases, when it comes to class warfare. What happened on the Titanic is a relevant footnote in History because the same is true today. The low-income people are in poverty because they scrape paycheck to paycheck barely making the bills, while the middle-class is considered anyone who makes roughly $26,000 up to roughly $150,000 a year. The 99% of all people living in this country fit into the low and middle class brackets while the top 1% earning 1 million or more are siphoning off more and more money for themselves. It is a known fact that the top 1% of the population own most of the wealth in this country due to exorbitant pay for CEO's, even though their company went bankrupt. The CEO's salaries of AT&T, BellSouth, Hewlett-Packard, Home Depot, Lucent, Merck, Pifzer, Safeway, Time Warner, Verizon, and WalMart were paid an aggregate of $865 million in compensation. If CEO's were paid based on talent and performance, how come shareholders lost $640 billion? Because of this aggregate wealth at the top, little has been filtering down to the bottom for the workers and shareholders thereby creating an enormous gulf or disparity between the two. These enormous disparities would not be there if the ratio of pay between CEO and worker was not 431 to 1. While CEO compensation rose to 17.9 million, the average employee saw a raise of just 3.1 %. Over the last 30 years, median family income has risen by 18% while the income of the top 1% has gone up by 200%. It seems we have a very large problem with selfishness and greed. It is true that the workers contribute greatly to the success of a company in terms of human energy and labor and yet even though they may work hard, may be quite dedicated and loyal, they see none of their returns in terms of investment because all the profits from the company are essentially going to the top. Even the shareholders no longer have a say, even though through their investments they own a part of the company. This is because these CEO's from large Multi-Nationals have their family members or good friends sit on their boards approving of all their greed.

In our society, we have lost entire respect for those people who work hard for the barest of pay while we adulate and venerate many of the wealthiest people in this country. And that is irrespective of the values and the principles they represent; greed and selfishness. School teachers, nurses and janitors are no longer exalted because we reserve our honor for entertainers, professional athletes, politicians, presidents and CEOs. Is this because in the past few years we have seen pay levels for CEO's and movie stars and politicians, etc., etc., that is beyond comprehension! For CEO's, on top of generous salaries, they are paid in stock options (which gives them an incentive to run up their companies' stock prices for their own gain) pensions, jets, homes and an unbelievable retirement package that would make Adolf Hitler blush. They are quick to defend their interests even though they have short changed so many people leaving them in poverty and destitution. Their indifference of those who are suffering because of their greedy decisions is appalling. We have become a nation divided by the have's and the have nots, the rich and the poor, and the educated and uneducated.

Our once great Republic, for the people, by the people, and to the people has been destroyed by an era of corporation and the greedy rich elite who run it. They care little to offer the same privileges of economic and educational opportunities that previous generations enjoyed. Abraham Lincoln warned the American people many years ago:

"The money power preys upon the Nation in time of peace and conspires against it in times of adversity. It is more despotic than a monarchy, more selfish than bureaucracy. I see in the near future a crisis approaching that unnerves me and causes me to tremble for the safety of our country. Corporations have been enthroned, an era of corporation will follow, and the money power of the country will endeavor to prolong its reign by working upon the prejudices of the people until wealth is aggregated in the few hands and the Republic is destroyed".

Although many have heard this speech many times before this was indeed a prophetic statement. What caused Lincoln to make this statement was his treasury secretary, Salmon P. Chase (who BTW was an agent for the Rothschild banking interests). Chase forced a bill through Congress "The National Banking Act", which created a federally chartered central bank who now had the power to issue U.S. banknotes. This came on the onset of the Civil War when Lincoln needed financing. It was Russia however who came to the Union aid, not the bank. And many believe it was Lincoln's valiant effort to fight against the bank and his subsequent success that led to his assassination.

Fast forward today and we see Lincoln's statement a stark reality. The Elite run Washington who care little for working class men and women. And why do they care little for working class men and women (even though they claim to) because there are no lobbyist representing the middle-class. If there are, their voice falls on deaf ears because it is the RICH lobbyist who represent corporations and multi-nationals, gas and oil companies, and defense organizations that are given the ears of our elected officials. Do you realize how many already super rich people benefit from one war after another through several defense contracts? And not to mention the oil, gas and energy companies who not only pay little to nothing at all in taxes but are actually given tax subsidies courtesy of the American tax-payer........eventually our taxes will go up because they will make us foot the bill for the greedy, rich elite and their agendas while our chances of improving our lot in life are slipping through our fingers with each passing day. The worst part is they blame the poor but give little attention to the corruption and fraud that have devastated many!

And who are the Elite who run Washington? We will start with the International Banking Cartel and the big Wall Street Banks who succeeded many years ago in abolishing any anti-trust laws. Along with the Fed and all their banking buddies they have all but seized control of our economy like Somalian pirates raiding our coffers. The large Multi-Nationals like Walmart, Exxon Mobile, GE, etc., (the big DOW leaders or blue-chips I believe) whose yearly revenues and profits are larger than many small nations GDP's combined and whose lobbyists seduce our elected officials with one bribe after another. The Special Interests whose only goal is to deny millions of Americans any opportunities to improve their lot in life. They not only enforce laws but actually write the language of those laws so that those laws will only benefit the few at the expense of the many. Like the terrorists who hijacked our plans on September 11th, 2011, so too have they hijacked our freedoms and our great democratic experiment. It is so bad now that you can not even criticize them even though you have your 1st amendment right to free speech. Reinhardt Heydrich may as well be running our Country.

These ELite are not only indifferent to the struggles of working class men and women, some are actually hostile to our interests because it would be an impediment to their goal of a new world order. This is why they embrace policies such as free trade, NAFTA, open borders, tax-cuts/breaks to the rich and super rich, reduced National Sovereignty in favor of a one world sovereignty. These policies have destroyed our manufacture base and have drastically reduced most people's standard of living. This is why more and more people are inundating the welfare programs. There have been no plans to create jobs that pay a living wage, nor has there been any plan from Washington to bring our manufacturing base home. There has been no plan to fix our failing infrastruture. Instead they talk endlessly about cuts to education, welfare and entitlements such as Social Security and Medicare. Will they EVER talk about cuts to the rich such as pay cuts to CEO's who not only bankrupted their companies causing investors to loose billions of dollars (which funded many peoples' retirement), but walked away with their own stock options adding to their already enormous wealth. And what about cutting the pay to our public sector such as our policy makers who enjoy endless perks and vacations all on our tax dollars or through bribes? And what about taxing the rich multi-nationals by closing any loopholes and ending subsidies to these companies and demanding that they pay their fair share of taxes so that that money can go back into the country where they enjoy most of their profits. These Multi-Nationals have no social responsibility. A perfect example is the Marcellous Shale. Here in my state of Pennsylvania, not only do these oil and gas companies make billions and billions of dollars in profit, they are not even taxed on those profits. There is no environmental impact fee, which everyone knows will eventually impact our communities whether it be through contaminated water or beat up roads from all the truck traffic, and there are no state taxes imposed as well. And even in some extreme cases, eminent domain has come knocking on some doors stealing what little some folks have. Meanwhile the governor will make cuts to education, welfare and the like.

In the Business world, a bankruptcy is heralded as a smart, strategic business move, meanwhile if the average Joe defaults on his mortgage or credit cards, he is considered a complete deadbeat and because of the recent 2005 bankruptcy law, it is now even more difficult for average Americans to file bankruptcy even though most bankruptcies result from unpaid medical bills. When Kmart announced its bankruptcy in 2002, it laid off 22,000 workers without any severance pay, while the CEO Chuck Conaway, the man in charge during the bankruptcy walked away with a 9.5 million severance package! Certainly, he could have shared some of that wealth with those 22,000 laid off workers right? Nope, instead they were forced to file unemployment creating a vacuum in our unemployment trust funds. Many of these large Multi-Nationals encourage workers to get medicaid because they refuse to pay benefits to their workers even though they have all financial means to do so. And then we wonder why so many are on welfare!

In 1930 Germany as Hitler was rising to power on through to the 1940's, many Germans chose to ignore the obvious abuses and gross genocide in favor of their own protection. It became an almost unbearable living situation for anyone with a conscience. You could either chose to speak up and risk your life or you could choose to ignore the perils just like the infamous Titanic and save your own butt. But saving your own butt actually amounted to only buying time because in the end Germany was left in ruin by their charming, charismatic, and aggressive, selfish leader. Even when William Shirer, a journalist and radio reporter for CBS news who wrote the book, "The rise and fall of the Third Reich", managed to sit with high ranking Nazis to get to the Truth so he could report it back here in the states, everyone chose to ignore him, including the paper he worked for.

The House and the Senate simply ignore the will of the people and look contemptuously upon their constituencies. The ELites' control of the political and economic think tanks, not to mention the media (which BTW would make Josep Goebbels blush) have all but morally bankrupted this nation because it not only no longer serves the needs of the people or the common good but actually asserts, praises and cheers the business practices of money, power and corporation........practices that have destroyed millions of well-paying middle class jobs reducing so many to poverty!

This year I will be 40 and I often ponder my future. I know in this world it looks pretty bleak because I am one of the millions of people making an extremely low wage while trying to compensate some how for the exorbitant prices of just about everything that makes up the cost of living and yes, I feel very discouraged. BUT, I know my future in reality is with Christ Jesus who has kept for me an inheritance that does not rust or spoil and does not fade away (which has nothing to do with this world). And Jesus said it best in Matthew 19, "how scarcely shall a rich man enter the Kingdom of heaven, for it shall be easier for a camel to enter the eye of a needle than for a rich man to enter the Kingdom of God".



*******footnote*******Originally a foreign correspondent for the Chicago Tribune and the International News Service, William Shirer was the first reporter hired by Edward R. Murrow for what would become a team of journalists for CBS radio. Shirer became known for his broadcasts from Berlin, from the rise of the Nazi dictatorship through the first year of World War II. With Murrow, Shirer organized the first broadcast world news roundup, a format still followed by news broadcasts.

Friday, February 10, 2012

BRIGHT FUTURE!!!!!




U.S. Median Annual Wage Falls To $26,364 As Pessimism Reaches 10-Year High
The Huffington Post Jillian Berman
Americans' wages are falling, perhaps a reason why pessimism about their personal finances is now the lowest it's been in a decade.

The annual median wage fell in 2010 for the second year in a row to $26,364, a 1.2 percent drop from 2009, and the lowest level since 1999, according to David Cay Johnston at Reuters.


Meanwhile, U.S. households are growing increasingly concerned about their finances with more than 20 percent of adult Americans rating their financial situation as "poor," a Gallup poll finds. That's a larger share than the 16 to 19 percent of Americans who viewed their finances as poor during and after the recession. It's also the highest percentage since 2001, the first year of the survey, according to Gallup.

In some ways, the financial crisis has taken more of a toll on the employed during the recovery. Indeed, Americans' incomes have fallen more during the recovery than they did during the recession. Incomes dropped 6.7 percent during the recovery between June 2009 and June 2011, compared to a 3.2 percent drop during the recession from December 2007 to June 2009, a study from former Census Bureau officials found.

And it will take some time to get incomes back to where they were before the recession. The U.S. median income has declined 7 percent in the last 10 years and while economists expect incomes to rise over the next decade, it likely won't be enough to return to pre-recession income levels, the Wall Street Journal reports.

Not everyone is suffering, however. The number of workers making $1 million or more actually rose to nearly 94,000 last year from 78,000 in 2009, according to Reuters.

Still, most employed workers don't expect much in the near future. Nine out of 10 American workers say they don't expect to get a salary increase in the next year that will be enough to compensate for rising food and fuel prices, a June American Pulse survey found. Meanwhile, Gallup's Basic Necessities Index -- a measure of Americans' access to food, shelter and health care -- fell earlier this month to lows on par with recession levels.

Monday, December 5, 2011

The Hefty Holiday Bill!






It must be nice being President... Obama to jet off to Hawaii for SEVENTEEN DAY Christmas vacation
By DAILY MAIL REPORTER

While most Americans are lucky to get a few weeks of holiday every year, it seems the country’s leader gets a little more freedom in the matter.

President Barack Obama has announced his Christmas vacation to Hawaii – for a staggering 17-day trip.

Obama, who visited the island just two weeks ago for an economic summit, will head to Honolulu on Saturday December 17 until Monday January 2.

Taking it easy: President Obama, pictured playing golf, has announced he will take off more than two weeks to visit Hawaii with his wife and daughters

The president, who was raised in Hawaii until he was six, will be joined by his wife Michelle and their daughters, Malia, 13, and Sasha, 10.

The White House travel office announced the president has no public events scheduled for the trip.

The President's family covers the cost of a private beach front residence in Kailua, Oahu, for their vacation - a ‘Winter White House’ that costs up to $3,500 a day, or $75,000 a month.

But the local and federal taxpayers help pay the bill for travel and security.

Last year the trip cost more than $1 million,according to the Hawaii Reporter.

Obama announced the trip during a campaign fundraiser on Oahu's Leeward Coast during his stay on the island last month.

Last year the Obama's Christmas trip to Hawaii cost more than $1 million.

He covered the cost of his family's accommodation, but the rest was covered by the taxpayers.

The bill to house Secret Service agents and Navy Seals in beach front accommodation stretched to $16,800.

A further hotel bill of $134,400 covered 24 White House staff staying in the Moana Hotel at a rate of $400 a day.

The estimate, by the Hawaii Reporter, also included $250,000 for local police overtime, $1 million for the president's own round trip flight to Hawaii on Air Force One, and $10,000 for a local ambulance to accompany the presidential motorcade.

‘It is great to be home, great to feel that Aloha spirit,’ he said.

‘And Michelle and the girls will be back shortly for Christmas vacation, as we do every year. We'll see if Washington gets its business done, so I can get here as well. But that's always a challenge.’

It follows an 11-day stay in Martha’s Vineyard, Massachusetts, earlier this year, which is also believed to have cost the U.S. taxpayer millions.

Next week, the president will be saving a few cents by hosting a meeting with Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper.

Obama will speak with Harper at the White House about economic competitiveness, security and key global issues.

Harper has urged Obama to support an oil pipeline from western Canada to the U.S. Gulf Coast.

But the Obama administration said last month it was delaying a decision on the project until it can study new potential routes that would avoid environmentally sensitive areas in the Midwest. The decision is expected to be delayed until 2013.





*********That's like driving a Duesenberg in the Great Depression********

Friday, April 30, 2010

The negative effects of unemployment continued

The Long Road Ahead
SINCE LAST SPRING, when fears of economic apocalypse began to ebb, we’ve been treated to an alphabet soup of predictions about the recovery. Various economists have suggested that it might look like a V (a strong and rapid rebound), a U (slower), a W (reflecting the possibility of a double-dip recession), or, most alarming, an L (no recovery in demand or jobs for years: a lost decade). This summer, with all the good letters already taken, the former labor secretary Robert Reich wrote on his blog that the recovery might actually be shaped like an X (the imagery is elusive, but Reich’s argument was that there can be no recovery until we find an entirely new model of economic growth).

No one knows what shape the recovery will take. The economy grew at an annual rate of 2.2 percent in the third quarter of last year, the first increase since the second quarter of 2008. If economic growth continues to pick up, substantial job growth will eventually follow. But there are many reasons to doubt the durability of the economic turnaround, and the speed with which jobs will return.

Historically, financial crises have spawned long periods of economic malaise, and this crisis, so far, has been true to form. Despite the bailouts, many banks’ balance sheets remain weak; more than 140 banks failed in 2009. As a result, banks have kept lending standards tight, frustrating the efforts of small businesses—which have accounted for almost half of all job losses—to invest or rehire. Exports seem unlikely to provide much of a boost; although China, India, Brazil, and some other emerging markets are growing quickly again, Europe and Japan—both major markets for U.S. exports—remain weak. And in any case, exports make up only about 13 percent of total U.S. production; even if they were to grow quickly, the impact would be muted.

Most recessions end when people start spending again, but for the foreseeable future, U.S. consumer demand is unlikely to propel strong economic growth. As of November, one in seven mortgages was delinquent, up from one in 10 a year earlier. As many as one in four houses may now be underwater, and the ratio of household debt to GDP, about 65 percent in the mid-1990s, is roughly 100 percent today. It is not merely animal spirits that are keeping people from spending freely (though those spirits are dour). Heavy debt and large losses of wealth have forced spending onto a lower path.

So what is the engine that will pull the U.S. back onto a strong growth path? That turns out to be a hard question. The New York Times columnist Paul Krugman, who fears a lost decade, said in a lecture at the London School of Economics last summer that he has “no idea” how the economy could quickly return to strong, sustainable growth. Mark Zandi, the chief economist at Moody’s Economy.com, told the Associated Press last fall, “I think the unemployment rate will be permanently higher, or at least higher for the foreseeable future. The collective psyche has changed as a result of what we’ve been through. And we’re going to be different as a result.”

One big reason that the economy stabilized last summer and fall is the stimulus; the Congressional Budget Office estimates that without the stimulus, growth would have been anywhere from 1.2 to 3.2 percentage points lower in the third quarter of 2009. The stimulus will continue to trickle into the economy for the next couple of years, but as a concentrated force, it’s largely spent. Christina Romer, the chair of President Obama’s Council of Economic Advisers, said last fall, “By mid-2010, fiscal stimulus will likely be contributing little to further growth,” adding that she didn’t expect unemployment to fall significantly until 2011. That prediction has since been echoed, more or less, by the Federal Reserve and Goldman Sachs.

The economy now sits in a hole more than 10 million jobs deep—that’s the number required to get back to 5 percent unemployment, the rate we had before the recession started, and one that’s been more or less typical for a generation. And because the population is growing and new people are continually coming onto the job market, we need to produce roughly 1.5 million new jobs a year—about 125,000 a month—just to keep from sinking deeper.

Even if the economy were to immediately begin producing 600,000 jobs a month—more than double the pace of the mid-to-late 1990s, when job growth was strong—it would take roughly two years to dig ourselves out of the hole we’re in. The economy could add jobs that fast, or even faster—job growth is theoretically limited only by labor supply, and a lot more labor is sitting idle today than usual. But the U.S. hasn’t seen that pace of sustained employment growth in more than 30 years. And given the particulars of this recession, matching idle workers with new jobs—even once economic growth picks up—seems likely to be a particularly slow and challenging process.

The construction and finance industries, bloated by a decade-long housing bubble, are unlikely to regain their former share of the economy, and as a result many out-of-work finance professionals and construction workers won’t be able to simply pick up where they left off when growth returns—they’ll need to retrain and find new careers. (For different reasons, the same might be said of many media professionals and auto workers.) And even within industries that are likely to bounce back smartly, temporary layoffs have generally given way to the permanent elimination of jobs, the result of workplace restructuring. Manufacturing jobs have of course been moving overseas for decades, and still are; but recently, the outsourcing of much white-collar work has become possible. Companies that have cut domestic payrolls to the bone in this recession may choose to rebuild them in Shanghai, Guangzhou, or Bangalore, accelerating off-shoring decisions that otherwise might have occurred over many years.

New jobs will come open in the U.S. But many will have different skill requirements than the old ones. “In a sense,” says Gary Burtless, a labor economist at the Brookings Institution, “every time someone’s laid off now, they need to start all over. They don’t even know what industry they’ll be in next.” And as a spell of unemployment lengthens, skills erode and behavior tends to change, leaving some people unqualified even for work they once did well.

Ultimately, innovation is what allows an economy to grow quickly and create new jobs as old ones obsolesce and disappear. Typically, one salutary side effect of recessions is that they eventually spur booms in innovation. Some laid-off employees become entrepreneurs, working on ideas that have been ignored by corporate bureaucracies, while sclerotic firms in declining industries fail, making way for nimbler enterprises. But according to the economist Edmund Phelps, the innovative potential of the U.S. economy looks limited today. In a recent Harvard Business Review article, he and his co-author, Leo Tilman, argue that dynamism in the U.S. has actually been in decline for a decade; with the housing bubble fueling easy (but unsustainable) growth for much of that time, we just didn’t notice. Phelps and Tilman finger several culprits: a patent system that’s become stifling; an increasingly myopic focus among public companies on quarterly results, rather than long-term value creation; and, not least, a financial industry that for a generation has focused its talent and resources not on funding business innovation, but on proprietary trading, regulatory arbitrage, and arcane financial engineering. None of these problems is likely to disappear quickly. Phelps, who won a Nobel Prize for his work on the “natural” rate of unemployment, believes that until they do disappear, the new floor for unemployment is likely to be between 6.5 percent and 7.5 percent, even once “recovery” is complete.

It’s likely, then, that for the next several years or more, the jobs environment will more closely resemble today’s environment than that of 2006 or 2007—or for that matter, the environment to which we were accustomed for a generation. Heidi Shierholz, an economist at the Economic Policy Institute, notes that if the recovery follows the same basic path as the last two (in 1991 and 2001), unemployment will stand at roughly 8 percent in 2014.

“We haven’t seen anything like this before: a really deep recession combined with a really extended period, maybe as much as eight years, all told, of highly elevated unemployment,” Shierholz told me. “We’re about to see a big national experiment on stress.”




********news update********Spains unemployment is at 20%, probably higher. It is only a matter of time before Spain hits their debt crisis and will need a bailout just like Greece.

Monday, April 26, 2010

The negative effects of unemployment

Because I have not learned how to link here (but I am still trying), I had to copy and paste a very insightful article written for The Atlantic on the effects of unemployment. This is the first installment of the long article so I will post bit by bit for a more thought provoking result.


How a New Jobless Era Will Transform America
THE GREAT RECESSION MAY BE OVER, BUT THIS ERA OF HIGH JOBLESSNESS IS PROBABLY JUST BEGINNING. BEFORE IT ENDS, IT WILL LIKELY CHANGE THE LIFE COURSE AND CHARACTER OF A GENERATION OF YOUNG ADULTS. IT WILL LEAVE AN INDELIBLE IMPRINT ON MANY BLUE-COLLAR MEN. IT COULD CRIPPLE MARRIAGE AS AN INSTITUTION IN MANY COMMUNITIES. IT MAY ALREADY BE PLUNGING MANY INNER CITIES INTO A DESPAIR NOT SEEN FOR DECADES. ULTIMATELY, IT IS LIKELY TO WARP OUR POLITICS, OUR CULTURE, AND THE CHARACTER OF OUR SOCIETY FOR YEARS TO COME.

By Don Peck

HOW SHOULD WE characterize the economic period we have now entered? After nearly two brutal years, the Great Recession appears to be over, at least technically. Yet a return to normalcy seems far off. By some measures, each recession since the 1980s has retreated more slowly than the one before it. In one sense, we never fully recovered from the last one, in 2001: the share of the civilian population with a job never returned to its previous peak before this downturn began, and incomes were stagnant throughout the decade. Still, the weakness that lingered through much of the 2000s shouldn’t be confused with the trauma of the past two years, a trauma that will remain heavy for quite some time.

The unemployment rate hit 10 percent in October, and there are good reasons to believe that by 2011, 2012, even 2014, it will have declined only a little. Late last year, the average duration of unemployment surpassed six months, the first time that has happened since 1948, when the Bureau of Labor Statistics began tracking that number. As of this writing, for every open job in the U.S., six people are actively looking for work.

All of these figures understate the magnitude of the jobs crisis. The broadest measure of unemployment and underemployment (which includes people who want to work but have stopped actively searching for a job, along with those who want full-time jobs but can find only part-time work) reached 17.4 percent in October, which appears to be the highest figure since the 1930s. And for large swaths of society—young adults, men, minorities—that figure was much higher (among teenagers, for instance, even the narrowest measure of unemployment stood at roughly 27 percent). One recent survey showed that 44 percent of families had experienced a job loss, a reduction in hours, or a pay cut in the past year.

There is unemployment, a brief and relatively routine transitional state that results from the rise and fall of companies in any economy, and there is unemployment—chronic, all-consuming. The former is a necessary lubricant in any engine of economic growth. The latter is a pestilence that slowly eats away at people, families, and, if it spreads widely enough, the fabric of society. Indeed, history suggests that it is perhaps society’s most noxious ill.

The worst effects of pervasive joblessness—on family, politics, society—take time to incubate, and they show themselves only slowly. But ultimately, they leave deep marks that endure long after boom times have returned. Some of these marks are just now becoming visible, and even if the economy magically and fully recovers tomorrow, new ones will continue to appear. The longer our economic slump lasts, the deeper they’ll be.

If it persists much longer, this era of high joblessness will likely change the life course and character of a generation of young adults—and quite possibly those of the children behind them as well. It will leave an indelible imprint on many blue-collar white men—and on white culture. It could change the nature of modern marriage, and also cripple marriage as an institution in many communities. It may already be plunging many inner cities into a kind of despair and dysfunction not seen for decades. Ultimately, it is likely to warp our politics, our culture, and the character of our society for years.

Unemployment is getting worse for those in low-income jobs

I have been a low-income earner for many years now but never has it been a burden than now. Not only am I unemployed, but when and if I ever do get a job, the income I earn is not nearly enough to provide sufficiently for me. This is why I have been struggling for years. I understand how hard it is to get by on $10 an hour. Even with overtime, by the time housing costs, transportation costs, food costs, dental costs, medical costs, utilities and phone have devoured your income, there is simply nothing left to save. More than likely something has to be negleted such as the dentist or the doctor. People making sufficiently more simply do not understand this and in fact have looked down upon those making less as if somehow it is their fault.

I admit that I am not the best money manager and yes I have spent money on things I do not need, but who has not. There is not a human being, especially in this consumer driven society that has not bought stuff they do not need. That does not negate the fact that inflation has gone through the roof because I remember vividly just as little as 15 years ago I actually did OK on my own. I was averaging $10 hour and paying my own way. I even payed down my $10,000 debt all on my own, probably because I had a better attitude about my future (now I realize my only hope is in Jesus Christ, not this earth because I have no future in this world but praise the Lord I most certainly have a better hope and future with Him). But even with a good attitude, I still honestly struggled but not nearly as I do now factoring in inflation. This is why it is so overwhelming trying to make it on your own as a low-income earner. People love to use the slogan........... pull yourselves up by your bootstraps.........but I will tell you that you can only do so much as you are taxed into oblivion and then what is left goes right out of your pocket for basis necessities of life. Just imagine when gas will go up to $7 a gallon and a VAT added as well as Obama healthcare. How can they expect people to have mandated healthcare when they do not even have a job. There is no doubt unemployment will stay steady if not rise in the coming years and there will be NO economic recovery no matter what the Harvard economists tell you. There are no more bubbles to inflate and they are left with nothing but extreme taxation which will only drive up unemployment. Truly it is basis mathematics.


You would THINK if Obama cared, he would address the most basis problem and that is unemployment, but why should he care when he gets his presidential treatment like private jets and lobster dinners! But frankly is it worth it anymore to work when you are taxed into oblivion or your company decides they do not like you so they stop paying you for hours you already worked..........that happened at my last brief encounter at a job I though I had. Obviously that was all satanic, no doubt!

I truly pity young people today. They have no future, no jobs and the only jobs that are left (which are not out-sourced) are low paying service jobs with no benefits or temp jobs with no benefits. Oh and lest I forget, everyone knows that at these low-paying service jobs you are treated like a slave and harassed and threatened and manipulated. You may as well be working in a communist country in a sweat factory as slave labor. A great book to read that addresses all of these problems is called GENERATION DEBT. I found it in a book store that was closing and selling all of its books for 75% off. I only payed 25 cents for it and it was one of the best books that I have read. I related to all the research in it. Ironically it is written by a young gal.....only 25 years old and she took the time to investigate much information and became her own journalist and reporter to write the book from real life people and real life situations, no bias..........certainly NOT what you hear elsewhere.


Read this article from the Washington blog dated today.........


Boeing CEO Jim McNerney succinctly summarized a recent study by Northeastern University’s Center for Labor Market Studies regarding unemployment rates for different income brackets:
The Center analyzed the labor conditions faced by income-grouped U.S. households during the fourth quarter of 2009.
In the face of one of the worst economic environments in memory, those in the highest income groups had nearly full employment levels, with just a 3.2 percent unemployment rate for households with over $150,000 in income and a 4 percent rate in the next-highest income group of $100,000-plus.
The two lowest-income groups — under $12,500 and under $20,000 annually — faced unemployment rates of 30.8 percent and 19.1 percent, respectively.
The study – published in February – notes that the poor are suffering Depression levels of unemployment:
Workers in the lowest income decile faced a Great Depression type unemployment rate of nearly 31% while those in the second lowest income decile had an unemployment rate slightly below 20% …. Unemployment rates fell steadily and steeply across the ten income deciles. Workers in the top two deciles of the income distribution faced unemployment rates of only 4.0 and 3.2 percent respectively, the equivalent of full employment. The relative size of the gap in unemployment rates between workers in the bottom and top income deciles was close to ten to one. Clearly, these two groups of workers occupy radically different types of labor markets in the U.S.
The study is subtitled “A Truly Great Depression Among the Nation’s Low Income Workers Amidst Full Employment Among the Most Affluent”.
Arianna Huffington, commenting on the study, pointed out that it if were the high-earners suffering 31 percent unemployment, the media would be discussing unemployment non-stop. But because it is the poor who are suffering Depression-level unemployment, they largely ignore it.
As I noted last August:
Chris Tilly – director of the Institute for Research on Labor and Employment at UCLA – points out that some populations, such as African-Americans and high school dropouts, have been hit much harder than other populations, and that these groups are already experiencing depression-level unemployment.


Get the book Generation Debt........by Anya Kamenetz

Letting Uncle Sam Foot the Bill
by Anya Kamenetz

3.0428576/5

Both my grandfathers served in World War II, and both went to school on the GI Bill. One became an accountant and the other a pharmacist.

It's a common experience: about 8 million Americans took advantage of GI Bill benefits between 1944 and 1956. Back then, the military provided full tuition, fees, books, and a stipend to returning soldiers.

Diminishing Returns

The considerable investment paid off in both human and economic terms. It's estimated that for every dollar spent on initial GI Bill benefits, six were returned to the Treasury due to increased earnings by members of the Greatest Generation.
Flash forward 55 years, and our nation is engaged in a conflict that's surpassed the amount of time we fought in the WWII. And according to the Iraq and Afghanistan Veterans of America, a 2004 survey found that "money for college" was the No. 1 reason civilians gave for enlisting to fight in those countries.

But the current Montgomery GI Bill, passed in 1984, far from lives up to its predecessor. Higher costs, stingier benefits, and bureaucracy have put obstacles in the way of young vets attending college. Veterans' advocates are backing a new proposed law that would restore the promise of the GI Bill for all who serve.